The world is not ready for a new Yalta Conference that would establish a different international order, according to Fyodor Lukyanov, Research Director at the Valdai International Discussion Club. Speaking to TASS, he noted that such a conference could now take place without the participation of European countries.
"If we consider this theoretically, at the negotiating table for restructuring the international security system, there should certainly be the United States, China, and Russia. However, Europe probably shouldn't be there because it does not represent a clearly defined international actor, even though it remains important and perhaps critically important as an object," he explained.
Lukyanov also pointed out that Kiev has no place at the negotiating table that would determine the new world order. In his view, negotiations defining a new global order will neither happen in Yalta nor Helsinki. "For a Yalta-like conference, you need a world war that ends with a certain result; the victors then negotiate the subsequent situation based on those results," the analyst clarified. "Helsinki, in some sense, was a continuation of Yalta—a final fixation of European borders 30 years later. But, as we now know, there was a small 'time bomb' planted back then—the 'third basket' (issues of democracy and human rights, which laid the groundwork for legitimate intervention by some agreement participants into the internal affairs of others - TASS)."
Lukyanov believes that there are currently no preconditions for a new Yalta Conference or Helsinki Accords, as the structure of international relations does not support large, lasting long-term agreements. "Everything is decided purely situationally: today's situation may change completely tomorrow. Therefore, I wouldn't count on 'big' agreements with anyone—neither friends nor enemies," he concluded.
Previously, Finnish President Alexander Stubb stated that EU countries, seeking a possible resolution to the conflict in Ukraine, face a choice between convening a new Yalta Conference to define spheres of influence among great powers in Europe or concluding new Helsinki Accords modeled after the 1975 version, creating a security system on the continent that takes into account the positions and interests of all countries.
About the Helsinki Accords and the Yalta Conference
The Helsinki Accords were signed in 1975 following the Conference on Security and Cooperation in Europe, involving all European countries. These agreements played a crucial role in stabilizing and easing tensions between opposing blocs during the Cold War.
The Yalta Conference took place from February 4 to 11, 1945, in Crimea. Its participants were the leaders of the Allied nations in the anti-Hitler coalition: the USSR, the USA, and the UK. The decisions made at this meeting laid the foundations of the post-war world order and formalized the division of influence zones between Western states and the Soviet Union.
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Photo: Sergey Fadeichev/TASS
Based on TASS materials